Why monolithic defense programs are inherently fragile
Mother Nature does not like anything too big… Mother Nature does not limit the interactions between entities; it just limits the size of its units. […]
nassim taleb
Why defense programs should fix cost and schedule, not technical, baselines
Results of this research suggest that the defense acquisition system should break the concept of the PM’s triple constraint of cost, schedule, and performance. The […]
Nassim Taleb says prepare for the worst-case in fat-tailed events like pandemics and war
Russ Roberts: Another way to say it–and, again, to put it into folksy terms that I also got from you–is that you care about–you don’t […]
Why are defense programs so big?
Mother Nature does not like anything too big… Mother Nature does not limit the interactions between entities; it just limits the size of its units… […]
The more things change, acquisition reform remains the same
History offers little to suggest that today’s acquisition reform will succeed where its predecessor efforts failed… Behavioral change is needed to effect any transformation. Acquisition […]
Resilience, the other side of risk
We all want our systems to exhibit resiliency, whether they are organizations, airplanes, or our human bodies. Here’s a good definition of resilience: … the […]
Is science slowing down? A dissenting opinion.
We are confronted with the fact that Moore’s Law has led to transistor density growing at 35% per year, creating a vast increase in the number of calculations that can be performed per second, for a constant dollar expenditure. Great! Then, we are told there are 18x more people working in transistor-related research today than in 1971.