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The indecision problem of capital investment during times of crisis

March 29, 2021 Eric Lofgren 0

One of the biggest lessons I had reading through WWII industrial mobilization literature is the waffling that goes on in the early days. Companies are […]

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Defense decision-making beyond neoclassical economics

March 10, 2021 Eric Lofgren 0

Well, in the article I caricatured how economists look at preference. So, let me do it in two stages. First, the way economists usually look […]

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The nature vs nurture debate for defense program planning

January 4, 2021 Eric Lofgren 0

There is an interesting story about a single crayfish that managed to reproduce asexually creating offspring with the exact same genetics. The offspring, called marmorkrebs, […]

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What the DoD doesn’t understand about markets

August 25, 2020 Eric Lofgren 0

Most people in economics think of economics as being a largely positive, scientific approach to studying. More than that: It is a set of questions […]

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Radical uncertainty + cost-benefit analysis = danger

August 13, 2020 Eric Lofgren 0

Most big decisions that we take are unique. They’re one-offs. And that means you really do need to think through yourself what is happening now. […]

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Nassim Taleb says prepare for the worst-case in fat-tailed events like pandemics and war

July 29, 2020 Eric Lofgren 1

Russ Roberts: Another way to say it–and, again, to put it into folksy terms that I also got from you–is that you care about–you don’t […]

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Should the Pentagon look to Detroit-style or Hollywood-style markets?

April 28, 2020 Eric Lofgren 0

With the microphone and with recording devices [for example], you can reach the whole globe. So, that’s a huge improvement in productivity of a singer. […]

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How open is the government to creative destruction?

August 31, 2019 Eric Lofgren 0

Arthur Diamond had a great conversation with Russ Roberts about his new book, Openness to Creative Destruction. In the episode, Diamond tells us a story […]

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Munger on Permissionless Innovation

November 30, 2018 Eric Lofgren 0

Russ Roberts: What is the most important concept in political economy?… your answer, Mike, really surprised me. What was it?   Michael Munger: Well, I would claim… that […]

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  • How were projects selected for the APFIT fund to field innovative tech?
  • Radical uncertainty + cost-benefit analysis = danger
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