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cost growth

Does EVMS serve any other purpose than to justify cost overruns?

November 11, 2022 Eric Lofgren 3

Earned Value Management (EVM) is a complicated system for measuring baseline plans, actual costs, and technical progress on large, complex defense contracts. It evolved from […]

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SpaceX’s platform-based strategy beats bespoke requirements

June 21, 2022 Eric Lofgren 0

Bent Flyvgjberg and Atif Ansar have a new article providing evidence that SpaceX projects outperform historical and contemporary competitors by using a platform approach. The […]

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Podcast: The political-economy of defense with Russell Rumbaugh

August 10, 2021 Eric Lofgren 0

I was pleased to have Russell Rumbaugh join me on the Acquisition Talk podcast to discuss some of the most fundamental issues facing defense management. […]

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Podcast: Risk, Cost, and Project Management with Christian Smart

December 15, 2020 Eric Lofgren 1

Christian Smart joined me on the Acquisition Talk podcast to discuss his new book, Solving for Project Risk Management. He is the chief scientist at […]

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An innovation culture maximizes variation, a manufacturing culture decreases it

October 12, 2020 Eric Lofgren 4

Most companies over-optimize for efficiency. They want to get so good at their current market that they lose flexibility to adjust to the future. And […]

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Why are analysts complicit in cost and schedule growth?

September 24, 2020 Eric Lofgren 0

I showed that for 10 projects for which a cost risk analysis had been conducted, the actual cost was greater than the 90th percentile for […]

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Healthcare analogies for defense acquisition

February 14, 2020 Eric Lofgren 4

I think we have to remember we have good people in healthcare. We are all attracted to the healthcare profession out of a sense of […]

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Cost growth and profitability are hard to pin down

April 1, 2019 Eric Lofgren 0

The analysis on the correlation between the lead branch of military service responsible for MDAPs and cost growth patterns reveals that programs led by the […]

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Boeing’s KC-46 struggles, but here’s the payoff

January 11, 2019 Eric Lofgren 4

The U.S. Air Force on Thursday finally accepted and took ownership from Boeing of its first KC-46A air-to-air refueling tanker, though it pointed to flaws […]

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How does cost growth affect decision making?

November 29, 2018 Eric Lofgren 0

I’m not sure how these results support the idea that “a solid and funded test plan often mitigates future cost growth.” It sounds like if you were 10% over budget to first flight — and that reliably means you’ll be that much or over for the program — then engineering and requirements problems were the culprit and not testing.

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Defense Acquisition as a Cost Disease Sector: What’s the Evidence?

October 29, 2018 Eric Lofgren 0

At any given time, you will have sectors where demand is growing faster than productivity (think of health care and education) and other sectors where […]

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