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Economics

Some data on how fast costs are rising for the US Air Force

October 24, 2019 Eric Lofgren 0

Last year I discussed whether defense acquisition was a cost disease sector, just like healthcare, education, and some areas of construction. I evaluated three methods […]

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Cost escalation for defense labor and material — can it continue to grow so fast?

September 16, 2019 Eric Lofgren 0

When we talk about procurement or support costs in the 2040 decade, obviously that’s a long way from now. Any sort of projection of a […]

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Mission-funded charity shows the Pentagon a way forward

September 11, 2019 Eric Lofgren 0

Funders of [Jeff] Bezos’s stature typically cast an open call for proposals, spending months poring over applications from nonprofits and sometimes insisting on site visits, […]

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The defense acquisition system isn’t an engineering problem

September 7, 2019 Eric Lofgren 2

A couple days ago I discussed how difficult in practice it is to collect data merely on where dollar outlays go. That seemingly simple case of […]

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How open is the government to creative destruction?

August 31, 2019 Eric Lofgren 0

Arthur Diamond had a great conversation with Russ Roberts about his new book, Openness to Creative Destruction. In the episode, Diamond tells us a story […]

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DOD pays a 3,233% overhead rate, but was it a bad deal?

August 28, 2019 Eric Lofgren 0

The U.S. Air Force, faced with an aging aircraft fleet, is turning to 3D printing to dramatically cut down the time and cost of manufacturing […]

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Monopsony, bailouts, and regulations — 3 problems of defense acquisition

August 23, 2019 Eric Lofgren 0

In weapons systems acquisitions, however, there are three important differences in buyer-seller relationships:   One, the buyer represents the only market, for the product and […]

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Government and the institutional memory of failure

August 15, 2019 Eric Lofgren 0

I think that large, established organizations operate according to different incentives than start-ups. Large organizations focus on the downside of new initiatives. In the start-up […]

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High sustainment costs are not a technological fact of life

August 8, 2019 Eric Lofgren 0

Bryan Clark: One big challenge they [the DOD] have is sustainment costs. Sustainment costs of our force — partly because it’s aging, partly because it’s […]

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Pace of innovation in the world of bits and atoms

July 17, 2019 Eric Lofgren 0

Are people’s living standards improving? Silicon Valley says yes, but their story is at odds with what people are experiencing on the ground. There’s been […]

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How the CBO estimates the cost of submarines

July 15, 2019 Eric Lofgren 0

To estimate the cost of those future submarines, CBO used data for the ships’ closest analogue—the Virginia class submarines that had already been built. From […]

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Value based pricing and how the DOD misunderstands cost

June 19, 2019 Eric Lofgren 0

TransDigm uses a value based pricing technique. What I mean by that is that the price of the product or service is based on the […]

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What is the Trusted Capital Marketplace really about?

June 13, 2019 Eric Lofgren 1

This post will speculate on the intent behind the DOD’s new Trusted Capital Marketplace, and what will be expected of its managers. Background. The Statement […]

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Moving beyond Newtonian and industrial era thinking

June 12, 2019 Eric Lofgren 0

This post highlights excerpts from two episodes of POGO’s Pentagon Labyrinth podcast. Both relate to the mindset embodied in the US Department of Defense — […]

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B-1B bomber readiness nears 16 percent

June 8, 2019 Eric Lofgren 0

The U.S. Air Force is slacking when it comes to the B-1 Lancer fleet, with less than ten operational units out of a total number […]

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Featured

  • Radical uncertainty + cost-benefit analysis = danger
  • Cost growth and profitability are hard to pin down
  • Mission-based budgets, getting real oversight, and DoD transformation
  • Government in-house talent and the Bell Report of 1962
  • The moral foundations of defense acquisition
  • An innovation culture maximizes variation, a manufacturing culture decreases it
  • Navy’s plan for managing it’s family of autonomous maritime systems

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